Yeah, the taper had occurred to me, but bullet manufacturers could take this into account, it's not like it's rocket-science

If you look at the typical (from SAAMI measurements) 9mm cartridge, it's got a volume of 0.2522 cu/in.
If you look at the volume difference between my 124gr RN and my 124gr FP bullets in question, it's .0309.
The delta is roughly 10% of the total volume, to me this sounds like a signficant "guess" when it comes to seating the bullet?
I don't have the data on what threshold causes pressure-spikes, roughly, but I'm guessing the delta is far less than 10%, between "totally safe" and "really marginal" to use two totally unqualified terms, but I think it gets the point across.
The more I think about it, I wonder why this isn't used as the standard, the delta between your bullet length and seating. This would allow a MUCH more accurate case volume result, which is really all we're shooting for here, volumes >= a given threshold, correct?
-pete